Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.402588 0.463631 0.527609 0.599377 0.677356 0.759251 0.851486
2024-12-22 0.305515 0.387757 0.479231 0.587382 0.710645 0.845707 1.003831
2024-12-29 0.254339 0.352750 0.468117 0.610678 0.779508 0.970641 1.200946
2025-01-05 0.203951 0.310219 0.441593 0.610985 0.818825 1.061093 1.360398
2025-01-12 0.165278 0.275775 0.419618 0.612553 0.856902 1.149030 1.517641
2025-01-19 0.139256 0.253628 0.409751 0.626559 0.908650 1.253053 1.695146
2025-01-26 0.119967 0.237608 0.405441 0.645870 0.966112 1.364133 1.882428
2025-02-02 0.103837 0.223507 0.401666 0.664381 1.021828 1.473196 2.068383
2025-02-09 0.084896 0.201579 0.383971 0.661647 1.048176 1.544497 2.207548
2025-02-16 0.072422 0.188177 0.377142 0.672810 1.092319 1.638438 2.375766
2025-02-23 0.059119 0.170647 0.361857 0.670089 1.116400 1.705815 2.510331
2025-03-02 0.044261 0.146622 0.333273 0.645163 1.107660 1.728634 2.586800
2025-03-09 0.037247 0.137416 0.328714 0.656750 1.151399 1.823170 2.759422
2025-03-16 0.028299 0.121318 0.310276 0.645246 1.161061 1.871516 2.871960
2025-03-23 0.025102 0.118380 0.315128 0.670790 1.225121 1.994760 3.084858
2025-03-30 0.019833 0.108233 0.305296 0.671565 1.252135 2.067156 3.230746
2025-04-06 0.015592 0.099327 0.296680 0.673500 1.280429 2.141307 3.379463
2025-04-13 0.013036 0.094696 0.296012 0.688574 1.328661 2.243713 3.567109
2025-04-20 0.011217 0.091864 0.298669 0.709225 1.385575 2.358788 3.772765
2025-04-27 0.009581 0.088998 0.300881 0.728976 1.441282 2.472664 3.977731
2025-05-04 0.007079 0.080993 0.290792 0.726103 1.461234 2.535524 4.113289
2025-05-11 0.005662 0.076912 0.289039 0.737995 1.504451 2.632030 4.295726
2025-05-18 0.004006 0.069986 0.279639 0.735114 1.523728 2.693906 4.430658